{"id":24,"date":"2008-12-22T15:20:29","date_gmt":"2008-12-22T20:20:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/jparnell.com\/blog\/?p=24"},"modified":"2008-12-22T15:20:29","modified_gmt":"2008-12-22T20:20:29","slug":"bailout-101","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/battle4liberty.com\/?p=24","title":{"rendered":"Bailout 101"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">A few months ago we were told that a financial industry bailout was required to avert a repeat of the Great Depression. While some government intervention was probably necessary, the blank check that Congress passed and President Bush signed is the best definition of a \u201cslippery slope\u201d I\u2019ve seen in a long time. $700 billion dollars later, we hear that the credit markets are still frozen and more bailouts are necessary to save the economy from catastrophe. The bailout du jour is the U.S. auto industry. President Bush\u00a0recently announced $17.4 billion ostensibly designed to get GM and Chrysler through early 2008. The Bush band-aid is not a long term solution. It looks like Obama and the incoming Congress to decide what to do long term.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\"><span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">How GM, Chrysler, and (to a lesser extent) Ford got to brink of bankruptcy has been well documented. Poor management decisions, heavy government regulation, high labor\/union costs, fuel prices, and the poor economy all contributed to the malaise. The bottom line, however, is that the Big Three have not produced enough cars and trucks that consumers want to purchase.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">In a capitalist society, companies come and go. The strong survive and must constantly improve to stay on top, while the weak must retool or drop out altogether. Economist Joseph Schumpeter referred to this as \u201ccreative destruction,\u201d and it is the very process that drives economic growth. In other words, the economy improves <em style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal;\">because<\/em> less efficient firms are replaced by more efficient ones. Stated yet another way, the departure of noncompetitive companies is good for the economy because it enables new competitors to enter the market and provide better products and services. <span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0<\/span>Following this logic, the real question we should be asking about the prospective auto bailout is simple. \u201cWhy should the federal government interfere with the market by providing emergency funding to automakers that investors are not willing to provide?\u201d<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">Those in the \u201cmainstream\u201d media have posed another question, however: \u201cShould we allow the carmakers to fail?\u201d Perhaps some frame the question this way because they simply don\u2019t understand how the economy grows. However, such a question also puts the onus on society, not the auto companies. Think about it this way. If you and your friends choose to eat at Dave\u2019s Drive-In instead of Harry\u2019s Hamburger Hut, you are forcing Harry to offer better food, improve service, or cut prices to lure in customers. If he doesn\u2019t, Harry\u2019s business will fail, not because you \u201callowed it to fail,\u201d but because he couldn\u2019t figure out how to run a successful restaurant. When he closes, someone else would probably move in and give it a try. This is the market in action, and this process gives us the best choices in restaurants, dry cleaners, service stations, and yes, automobile manufacturers. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">Preventing capitalism from running its course lessens some short term pain but creates greater long term problems. Specifically, I am fascinated with three arguments I heard in favor of the bailout. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">\u201cIf we can give the banks $700 billion, then why not give something to the Big Three?\u201d If you don\u2019t see the flaw here, look up \u201cslippery slope\u201d in the dictionary.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">\u201cIf the carmakers go under, then hundreds of thousands of Americans will lose their jobs.\u201d There are two problems with this argument. First, if GM and Chrysler file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, they won\u2019t go under, at least not now. Chapter 11 can bring about leadership changes and allow these companies to renegotiate unfavorable contracts that weigh them down. These companies could emerge from Chapter 11 stronger than ever. Second, even if the Big Three eventually file for Chapter 7 bankruptcy and liquidate, they would leave a production gap in the market. Foreign carmakers like Toyota and Honda might expand their manufacturing presence in the U.S. American entrepreneurs might purchase the auto plants at fire sale prices and produce their own cars. In other words, the industry collectively would fill the gap left by the departing competitors. In the end, the net effect would likely be a loss of jobs (which is already occurring), but certainly not the catastrophe proponents of the bailout forecast.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">\u201cUnder a bailout, government watchdogs will make sure that these companies make the changes necessary to succeed.\u201d Are politicians and bureaucrats capable of running a company successfully when seasoned business leaders have failed? Have you been to the Post Office recently? Do you really want American companies to be \u201caccountable\u201d to politicians? <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0in 0in 0pt;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\">The economic reality is clear. If the government must intervene to save jobs that would otherwise be lost, then taxpayer money is being spent so that inefficient carmakers can continue to produce vehicles that a sufficient number of Americans are not willing to buy. Chapter 11 bankruptcy exists to allow struggling companies to reorganize before they go under, and this could be a good option for the carmakers. On the other hand, a government bailout allows politicians to play Santa Claus, save the union contracts, and push the production of \u201cgreen\u201d cars like never before. Unfortunately, a bailout squanders both billions of taxpayer dollars and an opportunity for the Big Three to make the kind of serious changes that are sorely needed. The same is true for the others waiting in the bailout line, from insurance companies to state governments.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A few months ago we were told that a financial industry bailout was required to avert a repeat of the Great Depression. While some government intervention was probably necessary, the blank check that Congress passed and President Bush signed is the best definition of a \u201cslippery slope\u201d I\u2019ve seen in a long time. $700 billion [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/battle4liberty.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/battle4liberty.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/battle4liberty.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/battle4liberty.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/battle4liberty.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=24"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/battle4liberty.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/battle4liberty.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=24"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/battle4liberty.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=24"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/battle4liberty.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=24"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}